Nowmal › Florida › Grant-Valkaria
The week’s forecast, measured against two yardsticks: the “normal” your weather app still uses — a 1991–2020 average centered on 2005 — and the climate-adjusted normal, which here runs +0.9°F warmer. Same NOAA data. No pretending.
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1991 called. It wants its climate baseline back.
| Month | Normal high | Adjusted high | Normal low | Adjusted low | Gap (high) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 71.2° | 71.6° | 51.6° | 51.8° | +0.3° |
| February | 73.7° | 75.4° | 54.0° | 56.0° | +1.7° |
| March | 77.0° | 78.2° | 57.7° | 59.2° | +1.2° |
| April | 81.1° | 81.9° | 62.6° | 64.1° | +0.8° |
| May | 85.4° | 86.0° | 68.1° | 69.7° | +0.6° |
| June | 88.6° | 89.0° | 72.6° | 74.0° | +0.5° |
| July | 90.4° | 91.1° | 74.1° | 75.5° | +0.7° |
| August | 90.0° | 90.6° | 74.5° | 75.9° | +0.6° |
| September | 88.1° | 88.7° | 73.8° | 74.8° | +0.6° |
| October | 83.8° | 84.8° | 68.6° | 69.7° | +1.0° |
| November | 77.7° | 78.9° | 60.9° | 62.7° | +1.2° |
| December | 73.4° | 74.8° | 54.9° | 57.0° | +1.4° |
The “normal” temperature in every weather app is a 30-year average (1991–2020) — a number centered on mid-2005, two decades out of date in a warming climate. The Climate-Adjusted Normal takes NOAA’s official normal and advances it to the present using this county’s own measured warming trend.
It isn’t a forecast — it’s a more honest yardstick for what “normal” means now. Read why Nowmal exists →
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The forecast is the National Weather Service’s, for Grant-Valkaria itself. Normals and the warming trend are computed at county level (Brevard County) from NOAA’s homogenized climate record, because climate trends vary smoothly — nearby towns warm at statistically indistinguishable rates. Method details on the methodology page.
Nearby: Palm Bay · Melbourne · Titusville · Rockledge · West Melbourne · Cocoa · Cocoa Beach · Satellite Beach · Brevard County data page
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